Archives for posts with tag: shipbuilding

30 years is a long time in any sphere, and an even longer time in a fast-paced industry like shipping. The markets of the 1980s seem dim and distant, with a heroic boom and a few crises in between. However, one thing today looks similar: the “classic” orderbook as a percentage of the fleet ratio, a yardstick for assessing future supply growth, is now, at 7.4%, as low as it has been since 1989.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

In last year’s annual review, we profiled a strong expansion phase for the LNG market (12% trade growth in 2019). But this is also an industry with a long “stop-start” history and it looks like 2020 (driven by both Covid-19 and some pre-Covid drivers) will see recent growth stall. Despite these challenges, there remains encouraging long term growth potential and increasing opportunities from the bunkering market.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

It has been reported in recent weeks that the first half of 2020 represented the lowest order volumes for the shipbuilding industry in over 25 years. In this week’s Analysis we look at the limited activity in more detail, the different units of measurement involved, previous order “droughts”, Covid-19 disruption and the outlook for an industry well used to “wild” swings in demand.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

With Covid-19 generating major disruption to the world economy and shipping industry, in recent weeks our Analysis has often focussed on demand side “shocks”. However, a range of supply-side impacts are also taking place, with key metrics changing rapidly. Activity is down across shipyard output, newbuild ordering and vessel demolition, with the risk profile evolving as the impact of the pandemic has spread.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As Analysis in SIW 1,395 illustrated, vessel speed dynamics have been a notable part of the shipping market story over the last decade or so. With another full year of average vessel speed data to examine, it’s a good time for an update, focussing in on the trends last year in particular but also re-visiting the broader importance of tracking vessel speeds…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Conditions in the offshore sector have been notably challenging since the oil price crash of 2014. One particularly stark symptom of the downturn has been the long slowdown in the pace of delivery of offshore assets. Although this has offered some supply-side support, it has provided a clear sign, even after some market improvements, of quite how sustained the impact from a prolonged downturn can be.

 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

After five years of declining output, global shipyard output increased marginally in 2019, to 32.8m CGT. However, the recovery in ordering since 2016 reversed, with contracting down 30% despite an improving earnings environment (ClarkSea Index up 24%), underlying demand for tonnage to meet global trade (11.9bn tonnes in 2019) and fleet replacement (23% of tonnage over 15 years).

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Containership earnings made progress through most of 2019, although improvements were heavily weighted towards the larger size segments. Meanwhile, the box freight market generally proved challenging for operators, with limited headway in terms of spot rates, and on average charter market levels were actually fairly similar to 2018. A mixed picture, so what do the annual statistics show?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

The final year of the decade saw further improvements across the shipping markets with a 24% increase in our ClarkSea Index taking it to its highest level since 2010, principally driven by gains in the tanker and gas segments. Meanwhile the impact of “headline” growth in seaborne trade (1.1% to 11.9bn tonnes) and world fleet (4.1% to 2.1bn dwt) were supplemented by IMO 2020 related “adjustments”.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As we close in on the end of the decade, this week’s analysis compares data from shipping’s last forty years. It’s certainly been a tough decade, much of it spent dealing with the aftermath of the financial crisis and working through shipping’s surplus capacity. But it’s been far from a “dead decade”: trade growth of 3.7bn tonnes, 1.2bn dwt of deliveries and an improving ClarkSea Index as we close out…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.