Archives for posts with tag: Gas

Much of the analysis of the impacts of Covid-19 has focussed on major short-term shipping market variations and also the benefits from “disruption upside”. 2021 so far has seen more positive sentiment developing across many shipping sectors, and our ClarkSea Index has laid down a new marker, registering the best Q1 average since back in 2008, before the global financial crisis.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Extracted from our upcoming Shipping Review & Outlook, this week’s Analysis profiles recovering trade volumes, an encouraging supply side, the increasingly central role of Green Transition and elements of improved sentiment. While uncertainties around the nature of recovery and pressures from the pandemic remain, our projections suggest trade will return to pre-Covid levels in 2021 and reach 12bn tonnes.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Through 2020 our Analysis regularly looked at latest “near-term” shipping demand indicators, first to assess the magnitude of the initial Covid-19 impact and disruption, and then to track improvements in activity and seaborne trade, as volumes recovered in a number of sectors with some of the negative impacts easing back. This week we take a fresh look at the latest readings to check up on recent progress.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

After a uniquely challenging year for the shipping industry, our first Analysis of the year reviews some of the dramatic trends from a Covid-19 dominated 2020. Benefiting from elements of “disruption upside”, our cross-segment ClarkSea Index actually ended the year down only 2% y-o-y, experiencing its second highest year since 2010 (after 2019) despite global seaborne trade falling 3.8% to 11.5bn tonnes.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

2020 has seen major disruption to the shipping markets and a “shock” to seaborne trade. Volumes in many sectors are now returning, but on a full year basis global seaborne trade is still set to have fallen (latest estimate: -3.6% in tonnes) . However, one underlying trade trend of recent years has sustained, with the “average haul” of seaborne trade looking set to have increased for the fifth consecutive year.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Every year, readers of Shipping Intelligence Weekly are invited to submit their predictions of the value of the ClarkSea Index at the start of November the following year. Of course none of our entrants could have predicted the major challenges and disruption seen across the shipping industry this year, but it can still be useful to review where sentiment was a year ago and how the markets have evolved since.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

30 years is a long time in any sphere, and an even longer time in a fast-paced industry like shipping. The markets of the 1980s seem dim and distant, with a heroic boom and a few crises in between. However, one thing today looks similar: the “classic” orderbook as a percentage of the fleet ratio, a yardstick for assessing future supply growth, is now, at 7.4%, as low as it has been since 1989.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

In last year’s annual review, we profiled a strong expansion phase for the LNG market (12% trade growth in 2019). But this is also an industry with a long “stop-start” history and it looks like 2020 (driven by both Covid-19 and some pre-Covid drivers) will see recent growth stall. Despite these challenges, there remains encouraging long term growth potential and increasing opportunities from the bunkering market.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to the shipping markets, and tracking the impacts has brought a range of metrics, including new “near-term” data, into close focus (see our Shipping Market Impact Tracker on SIN). One statistic, however, which has not received quite so much attention this year has been average vessel speed, but with half of the year completed it’s a good time for an update.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Relations between the US and China have been back in the headlines recently, with tensions seemingly on the rise once more. For the shipping industry, the US-China ‘trade war’ was one of the key issues of 2018-19, and the ‘phase one’ trade deal in early 2020 was an encouraging sign that US-China trade could pick up. But with Covid-19 dominating trends in the year to date, how have volumes fared so far?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.