Archives for category: shipping industry

Investment 101 could be summarised as: buy low, sell high and make lots of money in between. That sounds simple, and with the benefit of hindsight, it can look it too. But as anyone who follows shipping knows, this is easier said than done. Modelling returns on shipping investments in the decade since the financial crisis helps to emphasize this point, and shows how good timing always makes the difference.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

It has been a long and often arduous journey for the car carrier sector over the last ten years. However, following a very challenging 2016, last year saw a return to more positive trends in global seaborne car trade, and volumes look set to have expanded steadily in 2018 too. Nevertheless, following gradual market improvements this year, building demand side risks may represent hazards on the road ahead.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Every year, readers of the Shipping Intelligence Weekly are invited to submit their predictions of the value of the ClarkSea Index at the start of November the following year. Of course, forecasting anything in an industry as volatile as shipping is always a challenge, but with a prize of a case of champagne at stake, many of our readers are eager to give it a go. So, how did last year’s entrants get on?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

This week, the US announced that further tariffs on a wide range of imports from China will come into force from Monday, with China confirming retaliatory measures. These developments represent an escalation in the dispute over trade between the two countries, and against this backdrop, it is worth taking another look (see SIW 1327) at the potential impact of tariffs announced this year in a shipping context.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

On 15th September 2008, the collapse of Lehman Brothers crystallised the financial crisis and the onset of the worst economic downturn for a century. To a shipping industry used to extreme cycles but transitioning to recession with rapid trade collapse and a huge newbuilding orderbook the initial shock was severe and the “hangover” prolonged. This week’s Analysis compares the situation almost ten years to the day.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

Next month over 50,000 will gather for the biennial SMM fair in Hamburg. Since the last fair (coinciding with the lowest ever ClarkSea Index!) there have been major developments, not least in environmental regulation. Despite an eroding newbuild orderbook, a modest uptick in ordering and recent enthusiasm for scrubbers are set to combine with plenty of positive discussion around technology and digitalisation!

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Since 1.73m bpd of oil output cuts were orchestrated by OPEC in November 2016, oil prices have risen from under $50/bbl to $70-$80/bbl, stimulating the upstream sector but making for a gloomy backdrop to challenged tanker markets in the last 18 months. With this context in mind and following the latest OPEC meeting, it is worth looking in detail at some of the ways OPEC policy has been influencing oil markets…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.