Archives for category: shipping

30 years is a long time in any sphere, and an even longer time in a fast-paced industry like shipping. The markets of the 1980s seem dim and distant, with a heroic boom and a few crises in between. However, one thing today looks similar: the “classic” orderbook as a percentage of the fleet ratio, a yardstick for assessing future supply growth, is now, at 7.4%, as low as it has been since 1989.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Tracking ‘idle’ containership capacity has become something of an institution in the box shipping sector, particularly in the years since the global financial crisis. Back in early 2009 it was reported that around 11% of all containership capacity stood ‘inactive’. Tracking idle boxship capacity through recent years reveals a similar peak during the Covid-19 crisis, but also a rapidly changing picture.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to the shipping markets, and tracking the impacts has brought a range of metrics, including new “near-term” data, into close focus (see our Shipping Market Impact Tracker on SIN). One statistic, however, which has not received quite so much attention this year has been average vessel speed, but with half of the year completed it’s a good time for an update.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

In these extraordinary times, the cancellation of school exams has been one of many unprecedented events. As we examine performance in our half year report, this is not an option for the shipping industry as it battles through the many challenges (and some upside) that Covid-19 has brought: a severe 5.6% drop in seaborne trade; a 10% drop in port activity; sharp declines in demolition and newbuild ordering.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

The ‘shock’ to the world economy from the Covid-19 pandemic is exerting clear pressure on seaborne trade. Significant uncertainty remains over the outlook, but current projections suggest the sharpest fall in global seaborne trade for over 35 years in 2020. However, impacts vary across the shipping sectors, with some commodities appearing more heavily exposed to disruption than others.

For the full version of this article, please go to
Shipping Intelligence Network

 

Last week’s Analysis took a long-term view of seaborne trade. This week, we look at the history of global oil demand, a key driver of seaborne trade (crude and products trade totalled 62m bpd last year, 25% of the total in tonnes), offshore oil production (25m bpd), and oil prices. In 2020, the now global spread of Covid-19 is leading to major disruption to oil demand, and the ‘long’ view provides an interesting context.
Shipping Intelligence Network.

In last week’s Analysis we noted that the impact of the Covid-19 outbreak could lead to months of major disruption and a “bumpy ride” for the shipping markets. This week we take a look back through our long history of seaborne trade data and review the differences between the impacts of previous major disruptions on the periods that followed…

 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As Analysis in SIW 1,395 illustrated, vessel speed dynamics have been a notable part of the shipping market story over the last decade or so. With another full year of average vessel speed data to examine, it’s a good time for an update, focussing in on the trends last year in particular but also re-visiting the broader importance of tracking vessel speeds…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Conditions in the offshore sector have been notably challenging since the oil price crash of 2014. One particularly stark symptom of the downturn has been the long slowdown in the pace of delivery of offshore assets. Although this has offered some supply-side support, it has provided a clear sign, even after some market improvements, of quite how sustained the impact from a prolonged downturn can be.

 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

This week we review scrubber retrofits, tracking the vessels, yards and volume of tonnage involved. As activity ramps up, and with >1% of the fleet on an annualised basis projected to be off hire, shipping market fundamentals may get a helpful boost. But despite this ramp-up, looking ahead will it be long before our LNG fuel capable vessel count (~800 today) matches our scrubber vessel count (~4,000)?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.