Archives for category: Shipping Intelligence Network

Last week’s Analysis took a long-term view of seaborne trade. This week, we look at the history of global oil demand, a key driver of seaborne trade (crude and products trade totalled 62m bpd last year, 25% of the total in tonnes), offshore oil production (25m bpd), and oil prices. In 2020, the now global spread of Covid-19 is leading to major disruption to oil demand, and the ‘long’ view provides an interesting context.
Shipping Intelligence Network.

In last week’s Analysis we noted that the impact of the Covid-19 outbreak could lead to months of major disruption and a “bumpy ride” for the shipping markets. This week we take a look back through our long history of seaborne trade data and review the differences between the impacts of previous major disruptions on the periods that followed…

 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

So often shipping market observers’ attention centres on new ships but shipping’s ongoing fuel transition has also focussed discussion on the older, often less fuel-efficient tonnage in today’s world fleet. In order to understand how the phase out of older ships might look, and estimate its potential impact in certain areas, it”s worth taking a look at the age profile of the world’s tonnage in more detail.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As Analysis in SIW 1,395 illustrated, vessel speed dynamics have been a notable part of the shipping market story over the last decade or so. With another full year of average vessel speed data to examine, it’s a good time for an update, focussing in on the trends last year in particular but also re-visiting the broader importance of tracking vessel speeds…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Conditions in the offshore sector have been notably challenging since the oil price crash of 2014. One particularly stark symptom of the downturn has been the long slowdown in the pace of delivery of offshore assets. Although this has offered some supply-side support, it has provided a clear sign, even after some market improvements, of quite how sustained the impact from a prolonged downturn can be.

 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As a whole, the key shipping markets made steps forward in 2019, with our ClarkSea Index on average up by 24% on the previous year. In a number of sectors this came against the backdrop of less than wholly supportive “headline” supply-demand fundamentals. Whilst these remain of primary importance, other notable factors have clearly been having a significant impact on market dynamics…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

This weekend marks Chinese New Year, traditionally an important milestone for mainlane container shipping, representing the end of the usually quieter winter season and the chance to look ahead to potentially improving spring trade volumes. The Year of the Pig didn’t prove a highly fruitful one for mainlane trade, so container market players will be glad to see the arrival of the Year of the Rat…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.