Archives for category: market

As recent history demonstrates, if the global oil supply-demand balance moves from a deficit of supply to a surplus, or vice versa, the effect on oil prices and hence the offshore sector can be far reaching. At present, as 2019 draws nearer, oil demand and supply look to be increasingly finely balanced. However, there are still a range of uncertainties that could significantly shift the current oil supply-demand outlook.

For the full version of this article, please go to Offshore Intelligence Network.

The container shipping sector derives many of its characteristics from the dual but separate nature of the freight and charter markets, and 2018 so far has seen some distinctly ‘two-tier’ trends in the box shipping space, with freight and charter rates experiencing a clear difference in performance. What has caused that to happen, and how likely is it to be sustained?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Global seaborne trade has nearly doubled since the turn of the century and in the consensus view, looks likely to continue on an upwards path in the long term. One important element of this trend is rising per capita trade as the world becomes wealthier. But where, exactly, might further per capita seaborne trade growth come from? The concept of an economic ‘tipping point’ and a few examples can be helpful here.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

In 1896, Wilbur and Orville Wright began to experiment with flight in their bicycle shop in Dayton, Ohio. But it was another seven years until the brothers successfully flew the world’s first powered aeroplane, with the maiden flight lasting just 12 seconds. Today’s bulkcarrier owners, holding out for loftier earnings, would likely empathise; getting airborne, and staying there, is a real challenge.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

Since the 2H 2014 offshore downturn, when investment in new exploration and development dried up, many offshore vessel owners will have tended to agree with the child heroine of the 1976 musical Annie: “It’s a hard knock life”. However after three years of setbacks and weak markets, some are now starting to see positives, as a few indicators show encouraging signs. But does that mean it’s time to invest?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Following the lowest year of contracting volumes for over thirty years in 2016, newbuilding market observers could have been forgiven for not looking too hard every month for signs of improvements on last year’s figures. In the early part of 2017 they would probably have been justified, but with more positive sentiment building, recent months have seen an increasing degree of upside on last year.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

2017 is shaping up to be a record year for secondhand sales volumes. Meanwhile, newbuilding activity remains at historically low levels. As a result, the ratio of secondhand to newbuild activity has surged, and while this is an indication of the current market environment, it might also be interpreted as an indicator of the ‘market mechanism’ starting to re-balance industry fundamentals.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.