Archives for category: Container

Every year, readers of Shipping Intelligence Weekly are invited to submit their predictions of the value of the ClarkSea Index at the start of November the following year. Of course none of our entrants could have predicted the major challenges and disruption seen across the shipping industry this year, but it can still be useful to review where sentiment was a year ago and how the markets have evolved since.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

This year so far has seen major disruption to seaborne trade volumes from the Covid-19 pandemic (see SIW 1,443), but significant trends have also been apparent on the supply side. Despite underlying fleet growth, trends in floating storage, scrubber retrofitting, and ‘idle’ boxship capacity have led to sometimes dramatic developments in ‘active’ fleet capacity in the major sectors over recent months.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Against the backdrop of a container shipping sector improving ahead of the expectations of many, this week the 1-year TC rate for an “old Panamax” containership reached a 9-year high of $18,750/day, more than 4 years after the opening of the new, wider Panama Canal locks that some believed would usher in a steady demise for the vessels in this sector.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

30 years is a long time in any sphere, and an even longer time in a fast-paced industry like shipping. The markets of the 1980s seem dim and distant, with a heroic boom and a few crises in between. However, one thing today looks similar: the “classic” orderbook as a percentage of the fleet ratio, a yardstick for assessing future supply growth, is now, at 7.4%, as low as it has been since 1989.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Discussion around average ship sizes usually focusses on “upsizing” in the fleet and vessel deliveries, following the entry of new classes of even larger ships into the world fleet and also new, larger designs in well-established sectors. However, tracking the average size of vessels being recycled reveals some interesting trends too, related to regulation, market and underlying fleet dynamics

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Tracking ‘idle’ containership capacity has become something of an institution in the box shipping sector, particularly in the years since the global financial crisis. Back in early 2009 it was reported that around 11% of all containership capacity stood ‘inactive’. Tracking idle boxship capacity through recent years reveals a similar peak during the Covid-19 crisis, but also a rapidly changing picture.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to the shipping markets, and tracking the impacts has brought a range of metrics, including new “near-term” data, into close focus (see our Shipping Market Impact Tracker on SIN). One statistic, however, which has not received quite so much attention this year has been average vessel speed, but with half of the year completed it’s a good time for an update.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

In these extraordinary times, the cancellation of school exams has been one of many unprecedented events. As we examine performance in our half year report, this is not an option for the shipping industry as it battles through the many challenges (and some upside) that Covid-19 has brought: a severe 5.6% drop in seaborne trade; a 10% drop in port activity; sharp declines in demolition and newbuild ordering.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Relations between the US and China have been back in the headlines recently, with tensions seemingly on the rise once more. For the shipping industry, the US-China ‘trade war’ was one of the key issues of 2018-19, and the ‘phase one’ trade deal in early 2020 was an encouraging sign that US-China trade could pick up. But with Covid-19 dominating trends in the year to date, how have volumes fared so far?

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to seaborne activity, and we are tracking a range of metrics (see Shipping Intelligence Network) that show the immediate demand side impact in varying ways. However, inevitably some focus has also turned to the shape of the potential future recovery – there are clearly many scenarios, and a growing debate, so a framework for further analysis is a useful step.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.