Archives for category: Bulkers

30 years is a long time in any sphere, and an even longer time in a fast-paced industry like shipping. The markets of the 1980s seem dim and distant, with a heroic boom and a few crises in between. However, one thing today looks similar: the “classic” orderbook as a percentage of the fleet ratio, a yardstick for assessing future supply growth, is now, at 7.4%, as low as it has been since 1989.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

While indicators suggest that the impact of Covid-19 on global seaborne trade may have eased a little in recent months (see SIW 1,433), this year overall has undoubtedly been a very difficult period for seaborne demand. However, whilst imports into many regions have decreased significantly, demand in China, shipping’s largest market, has remained robust, with imports recently reaching record highs.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to the shipping markets, and tracking the impacts has brought a range of metrics, including new “near-term” data, into close focus (see our Shipping Market Impact Tracker on SIN). One statistic, however, which has not received quite so much attention this year has been average vessel speed, but with half of the year completed it’s a good time for an update.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

Covid-19 has led to a major “shock” to seaborne activity, and we are tracking a range of metrics (see Shipping Intelligence Network) that show the immediate demand side impact in varying ways. However, inevitably some focus has also turned to the shape of the potential future recovery – there are clearly many scenarios, and a growing debate, so a framework for further analysis is a useful step.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

That recent times have been a good demonstration of shipping market volatility comes as no surprise. There have been more than enough major events to drive significant fluctuations in our ClarkSea Index, and the statistics make this clear. Developments in the tanker sector have recently dominated the index trend in terms of volatility, but that doesn’t mean that every sector has followed quite the same storyline… 

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

The ‘shock’ to the world economy from the Covid-19 pandemic is exerting clear pressure on seaborne trade. Significant uncertainty remains over the outlook, but current projections suggest the sharpest fall in global seaborne trade for over 35 years in 2020. However, impacts vary across the shipping sectors, with some commodities appearing more heavily exposed to disruption than others.

For the full version of this article, please go to
Shipping Intelligence Network

 

Covid-19 has highlighted how aggregate port call data, whilst sometimes imperfect, can be useful. Regular analysis of daily port calls trends in key countries (see our ‘Port Call Activity Tracker’ in the Covid-19 Reports section on Shipping Intelligence Network) is helping us track the impact of the pandemic, and a broader look at port call data also provides context for understanding the disruption to global shipping.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

A shrinking global orderbook has been one of the more persistent features of the post-financial crisis years, with the volume of tonnage on order now down to c.30% of peak levels. However, a substantial volume of newbuild investment has still taken place over the period as a whole, and a greater focus on specific vessel types has left the current orderbook looking very different to a decade earlier.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

 

Even for an industry used to disruption, shipping has been struggling with the scale and dynamic nature of the Covid-19 outbreak. Starting in its largest market (China: 22% of seaborne imports), the initial shipping impact was felt quickly and severely. And while there are signs that the Chinese impact may be starting to stabilise (see graph), the focus has shifted to broader global impacts, and investor sentiment.

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.

As a whole, the key shipping markets made steps forward in 2019, with our ClarkSea Index on average up by 24% on the previous year. In a number of sectors this came against the backdrop of less than wholly supportive “headline” supply-demand fundamentals. Whilst these remain of primary importance, other notable factors have clearly been having a significant impact on market dynamics…

For the full version of this article, please go to Shipping Intelligence Network.